14 Energy:
Are we Running Out?
Vocabulary
Laws of Thermodynamics vs. law of diminishing economic returns,
entropy, utilityÕs two meanings,
ÒEnergy, the ability to effect change in our
physical world.Ó p.290
Outline
Overview – without energy we are lost because we have no
source
1.
The uses of energy { 292
2.
Efficiency as an energy source { 295
a.
LovinÕs soft energy path
b.
HoldrenÕs Optimistic Scenario
3.
Alternative energy sources – Renewables {
207
4.
Fossil Fuel Alternatives { 305
5.
Nuclear Power { 306
6.
Toward the Future { 308
ÒSome of the biggest downsides of developing a heavy dependence on
biomass fuels derived from major crops is
that they would be competing for the productive capacity of agricultural land
against food, a vital resource that is in short supply globally.Ó
Òwhile much of the
land now being farmed is being degraded and thus is unlikely to sustain
production.Ó
302
ÒOnly a myopic society would, in essence, grind up its
most irreplaceable resource [food] and feed it to Hummers.Ó
303
ÒTo move toward an effective solution to energy
supply and related environmental problems, what seems needed is prompt action
on efficiency, combined with careful planning, research and rapid
implementation of an array of supply technologies that minimize adverse
environmental impacts.Ó
ÒIt should be remembered that abundant energy
is no panacea for the worldÕs ills.Ó
308
ÒThe slowness of change in the social arena of culture has retarded recognition of this circumstance and its consequences [the human predicament].
308-309
Summary
Òthe energy problem brings together many crucial issues in the human predicament. The great speed of evolution in the technological dimension of our culture has led to the deployment of a dangerous and unsustainable global energy infrastructure.Ó
P.
308
Overview – without energy we are lost because we have no
source of water to grow food and no energy to plant, harvest, refrigerate, and distribute food.
ÒIt has made us the dominant animal on earth.Ó
290
The US energy consumption profile: World
profile:
Petroleum 40
percent 34
percent
Coal 23 25
Natural gas 25 21
Fission –nuclear power 08 06.5
Hydro electrical (dams) 06 02.2
Biomass 11.
Solar,
geo, & wind 00.4
291
Òabout 2 billion
people , mostly in developing countries–on the burning of wood, crop
residues, or dung to heat their huts, boil their water, and cook their food.
Solar cookers could replace wood, kerosene and charcoal fuels.
ÒAltogether
the worldÕs people now use energy at the rate of about 16 terawatts.
. . .the equivalent of 17 billion tons of coal.
291
ÒThat
means the average person among the richest 800 million accounted for a
commercial energy flow of about 8 kilowatts while an average poor person
enjoyed the use of only about 0.7 kilowatts of commercial energy and roughly
half that much from biomass. (wood-fodder-dung)
291-92
ÒThat misdistribution (of access to energy) is
a fundamental cause, (and consequence) of economic inequality.Ó
Europeans monetarily subsidize their cows
(beef, cheese, & milk production) at a per capita rate greater than the
amount of money that half of humanity earns every day ($2.50 versus $2.00 /
diem)
p. 292
¥ The uses of energy { 292
ÒWhat society is in danger of running out of
relative to energy is is environment–especially
the ÔawayÕ in which to throw things (as in the expression Ôthrow awayÕ).Ó
Air –Òis a classic open access
resource–one nobody owns, and thus one open to overexploitation.
293
ÒA fundamental fact about the human energy
situation is that energy use and its hidden costs have increased globally roughly
fivefold since 1950.Ó
294
Òfossil-fuel based
energy systems which now provide
some 80 percent of the energy used globally.Ó
294
¥ Efficiency as an energy source { 295
ÒThe
quickest, cheapest, and safest new ÔsourceÕ of energy is efficiency.Ó
295
Public
authorities have failed to design cities and suburbs so that people can easily
walk or bike to work, and they have failed for two decades to insist on
improved fuel efficiency in automobiles and trucks for wich
the technology already existed.Ó
295
Òthe United States
could potentially reduce its energy use to about a quarter of what I is now, while increasing the quality of life.Ó
295
LovinÕs soft energy path (296)
HoldrenÕs Optimistic Scenario or Òbest plausible scenarioÓ (296)
¥ Alternative energy sources – Renewables {
297
ÒWithout the use of alternative energy sources
efficiency alone cannot solve the dilemma.Ó
297
Òmostly versions of
solar energy, sometimes in the guise of wind, water, and biomass fuels.Ó
298
ÒSolar energy can be used more directly for
space heating and cooling by situating and designing buildings so they can best
absorb and hold heat in the winter while reflecting sunlight in the summer.Ó
299
Òresearch has steadily
increased the efficiency of these solar photovoltaic (PV) systems in converting solar radiation into
electricity, and they can perform even under somewhat cloudy conditions.Ó
299
Òlike solar systems,
wind installations offer a flexibility that is lackingin
industrial style power gridsÓ
301
ÒBiomass fuels could, in some circumstances,
help to stretch supplies of fossil fuels.Ó
301
ÒHowever the quantity of ethanol (alcohol fuel)
that would be needed to replaceall the gasoline consumed today in the US transportation
system would exceed the nationÕs corn harvest, which under the best estimate
could be convereted into enough biofuel to meet only
12 percent of the demand for gasoline.Ó
p. 302.
¥ Fossil Fuel Alternatives { 305
Integrated gasification closed cycle
–IGCC—coal and carbon sequestration
techniques
Òmore expensive to
build than conventional coal burnersÓ
150 conventional coal plants proposed for the US (due to cost-constraint)
305.
306.